I'm a big proponent of keeping a matching full size spare - I don't look at it as a waste of rubber
and dead weight for 2 reasons..
A) Chances are its gonna come in handy
B) I number my wheels and keep all 5 of my tires in a constant rotation so that my spare wears
evenly just as the rest of them do, my spare changes every 2500 miles or so, that also helps
the tread last longer... I'm not a mathematician but maybe around 20% longer or so...
Exactly why I don't mind paying for that 5th tire! It's not like buying a matching spare is a waste of money and rubber (unless you're
really lazy.)
Now I don't number my wheels or anything, but I always work the spare into the rotation:
Spare--> Right Rear--> Right Front--> Left Rear--> Left Front--> Back to Spare
It actually makes rotating your tires a lot easier because you only have to jack one wheel off the ground at a time.
As mentioned above, your tires will last longer because each one takes a turn being the spare tire and gets a break for whatever your rotation interval is. Instead of 40K on a set, you'll get 50K. My math tells me that means a set of five tires will last 25% longer than a set of four.
now that im on 38s...the thought of a spare hasn't even crossed my mind.
not 1 person i wheel with carries a spare, and weve never needed them. weve gotten a few flats, but nothing that couldn't be fixed
That's a pretty optimistic statement to make. I understand a large tire being a hassle to lug around, but how are you and your friends going to decide who stays behind when someone finally manages to tear a sidewall? I think even that 30" you said you could shove into your cargo area would be better than nothing in a pinch, then at least you'd have one spare to share amongst yourselves...
All the above being said, I've got almost 55K on my set of 5 BFG MT KM1's and have never needed my spare. The tread blocks are missing a lot of rubber, they're just about down to the wear indicators, and they're starting to crack, but they've never let me down (yet).