Handlebars said:
Ed, you brought up a lot of serious points, so I will respond to your post.
This is why non-tech is great, civil discourse on off-topic issues (I am pleased to see the forum revved up a bit, and that you do not take the jabs

personally).
Handlebars said:
Thank you for the acknowledgement that oil is a finite resource. You also listed several emerging technologies that will need a lot of development in order to become economically viable alternatives to oil. Wouldn't it be a better idea to get some of those alternate forms of energy on line before the lack of oil becomes a crisis? You also listed as a disadvantage the vulnerability to terrorist attacks that some of those technologies have. Do you think that a nuclear power plant within our own borders is harder to defend than a middle eastern oil field, or a pipeline, or even a tanker on the high seas?
Oil is a finite resource, but not as limited as all the crisis reports. The total oil reserves are a moving target, with new resource finds every year. If we believed each report since 1970 we would have ran out of oil long ago.
Look at alternative energy sources, and who is developing them? Is the EU or East Asia on the forefront, or the USA?
Wind? Does another country have anything like the wind farms in Altamonte, Banning, or Techachapi Passes (these are all in California). The current limit on wind power is distribution (power poles), NIMBY concerns for nearby residents (noise and sight lines), and environmental concerns of T&E avian species getting killed.
Solar? The world's largest solar array plant is (also) in the Southern California desert. The current limit on solar power is manufacturing cost (Ga & Si based cells), the T&E species impacts due to the vast ground cover required (for solar cell & solar thermal plants), and the distribution impacts (again, power pole easements).
Nuclear (fission and fusion)? Fission is one area where the USA leads in the available technology, as USA companies design and build the majority of plants, but France and Japan lead in total percentage of power consumption (the USA nuclear power program was stopped by internal political terror fears). Fusion power generation is always promised next decade (except by some environmental folks reading the predictions of 1965), and after over $1,000 Billion invested over sixty years we have no return.
I believe a domestic nuclear power plant is easier to defend than an oil pipeline in Iraq, but I also believe the consequence of the pipeline being targeted (rather than a powerplant) would be less of a concern to my family.
Fuel Cell? Tidal energy? Thermocline? Biomass? USA, again, leads the research and technology.
There is also the old-line energy sources to consider: hydroelectric and geothermal, domestic fossil fuels (both clean natural gas and dirty coal), ethanol (grain alcohol), and timber biomass (wood burning stoves). The USA may not exceed in the usage of each of these traditional power sources, as a percentage of total power consumed (Iceland uses more geothermal, etc.), although we do lead in clean technologies and efficiency (Btu output for therm exploited). You may not believe this, but the limit on each of these traditional energy sources has become domestic environmental concerns: water for fish stocks, byproducts of geothermal waste, gas & coal reclamation costs (and lack of non protected land to mine), lack of water and available land to place into grain production, and air pollution or timber harvest concerns regarding wood.
We need to reinforce some of these concerns to maintain the current standard of living we enjoy, but if foreign oil were eliminated, circumstances would change. It may be a shock to learn our exploitation of foreign oil supplies artificially protects our habitat from development, possibly more than the environmentalist crusade, but without foreign oil we would be advancing into protected areas for energy.
This is a long way to communicate the USA has explored and implemented alternative energy sources, and is a world leader in getting these sources on-line. The people who profess the USA is not actively researching and placing alternative energy sources on-line have never taken an honest look at who is implementing these power sources.
Handlebars said:
The long-term possibilities are what I am worried about. Let's say oil ceases to become an economical source of energy in 40 years. The United States has not developed any other viable forms of energy for industrial & residential uses or transportation. Who will have the advantage in global trade then? How does exploiting low cost foreign oil now prepare us for that day? It certainly does not give the average citizen any incentive to seek more economical cars, much less ones that are pioneering new technology. Many participants in this debate have acknowledged the need to conserve gas but haven't found the motivation yet.
When oil ceases to be available, 40-years (a guess), the entire world will suffer the impact. The USA will be on equal shaking footing as the balance of the world.
Exploiting low cost oil today provides profits that can fund research and development to prepare us for the day the oil runs out. Yes, I read about how all the current profits go to corporations and big business, and little about who hires the R&D to fund the research into energy alternatives (the same accused fat-cat corporations). An interesting thing to notice is the R&D leader corporations are not all USA based, but the majority of R&D is performed in the USA (something that may lend an advantage someday, the small companies with R&D programs that could not afford to do so with 400% higher fuel costs).
Incentive does not overcome a lack of capital. Profit is an excellent incentive, but without capital to invest (capital drained by higher fuel cost) the research may never get a chance to be explored. It's may be rewarding to realize the greatest hybred technology advancements were made when gasoline prices were at historical lows (just something to think about).
Handlebars said:
I will allow a couple of experts explain how our dependence on foreign oil leaves us vulnerable to terrorism:
I have no argument, we are vulnerable to fluctuations in our economy due to foreign actions (I lived through the two difficult oil cartel actions, and it can happen again).
We are also vulnerable to terrorism due to our lax religious freedoms (compared to other parts of the world), and due to our arrogance, and due to a number of bigoted reasons. Oil is only one dependence, and it's a dependency that we share with the rest of the world (if a pipeline gets terrorized the world suffers, not just the USA). This failure to acknowledge an attack against the USA as an attack against the world economy is part of the arrogance that makes us vulnerable to political terrorism, as well as industrial terrorism (even if it's not the USA's arrogance that blinds the public to the potential for world tragedy).
Handlebars said:
Now Ed, back to your question, "were the terrorist ELF actions justified and legitimate?" I answered no. But can you see how hard it is to get my point across with polite, open dialogue? Several people have said that the ELF should have used a similar approach to get their point across, instead of vandalizing a Hummer dealership. Most everyone has avoided my assertion that we should be building fewer gas guzzling vehicles but the ELF has really gotten their attention!
A little Shock & Awe

?
We may not agree with everyone on every issue (and I reserve my right to change my mind, or plead ignorance) but these discussions usually get past the name-calling and uncover the issues (at least on

). I get into to trouble discussing my theories on death wobble too (but that's tech-talk, and this is non-tech).